Variant Perception
Variant Perception is an eminent independent investment research provider that equips both institutional and individual money managers with actionable investment advice. Not satisfied with the state of economic research, the firm builds its own set of tools to address the issues about financial markets, asset allocation, and asset management.
Associated People
Aaran Param
2019 - present
Jonathan Tepper
Scott Freeman
2023 - present
Tian Yang
2014 - present
Simon White
2008 - 2021
Ben Davies
2008 - 2015
An independent research provider, Variant Perception’s clients include family offices, hedge funds, and individual investors. It has a model for quantifying and forecasting the next recession. This model focuses on the typical sequences of events in which things happen vs. analyzing quantifiable data inputs.
Their approach is different from traditional economists for three reasons:
1) the inputs they use - using leading & unrevised data vs. revised data
2) their model - uses s-curve and regime shifts vs. gradual continuous processes
3) endogeneity (positive feedback loops)