Jim Rickards

• Accomplished Author - writes many books and newsletters
• Routinely travels the world speaking with the monetary elite
• Does not believe in Bitcoin
• Predicted that Donald Trump would win the 2016 US Presidential Election (few made this call)
• Closely studies current and past national security threats

Jim Rickards Methodology - based on prediction science

• Complexity Theory
• Bayesian Inference
• Behavioral Psychology
• History

*Compared to flawed models that central banks use (VaR, Phillips Curve, R*)

Jim Rickards History

• Attended law school
• Started his career as a bank lawyer
• Graduate degree in International Affairs (1974)

Rickards graduated from Lower Cape May Regional High School in Cape May, New Jersey, in 1969. He graduated from Johns Hopkins University in 1973 with a B.A. degree with honors and in 1974, from the Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies in Washington, D.C. with an M.A. in international economics. He received his Juris Doctor from the university of Pennsylvania Law School and an LL.M in taxation from New York university School of law. As general counsel for the hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM),[7] Rickards worked on Wall Street for 35 years.[8] Rickards was the senior managing director for market intelligence at Omnis, Inc.,[9] a consulting firm.[6] On March 24, 2009, Rickards presented his view at a symposium at Johns Hopkins, that the U.S. dollar was facing imminent hyperinflation and was vulnerable to attack from foreign governments through the accumulation of gold and the establishment of a new global currency. On September 10, 2009, along with hundreds of other people, Rickards testified before the U.S. House of Representatives about the risks of financial modeling, VaR, and the 2008 financial crisis.